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Trade wars and central banks: lessons from 2025

· Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (Euro area (EU))

Summary written by Dark Majestic in its own words · topics: inflation and price stability, trade, fragmentation and geopolitics

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· Christine Lagarde Wiki · European Central Bank WikiTrade wars and central banks: lessons from 2025

ContextKeynote speech by Christine Lagarde at the Bank of Finland's 4th International Monetary Policy Conference.

Why it mattersThe ECB President's assessment of what US tariffs did to euro area inflation in 2025.

Problems raised
  1. Trade wars hit Europe as geopolitics returns.
  2. The full effects of US tariffs are not yet clear.
  3. New unknown shocks will keep coming.
Solutions proposed
  1. Recognise that trade shocks are not creating inflation now.
  2. Keep rates at 2%, ready to respond.
  3. Stay vigilant in a world of geoeconomics.
Read full speech on ecb.europa.eu ↗

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