ContextPresentation of the BIS Annual Economic Report at the Annual General Meeting in Basel; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and faces an uncertain global outlook.
Why it mattersThe BIS annual report warns that renewed inflation surges would damage trust and urges attention to non-bank risks.
Problems raised
The global economy is at a crossroads.
Non-bank finance is growing.
Large inflation surges damage trust.
Solutions proposed
Pay special attention to preventing inflation surges.
ContextClosing remarks at a conference in Basel honouring the speaker's 45-year career; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and helps them learn from past policy lessons.
Why it mattersThe outgoing BIS head reflects on four decades of policymaking, from inflation targeting to monetary-fiscal conflicts.
Problems raised
Supply behaviour in global value chains is poorly understood.
Inflation expectations are hard to model.
Monetary and fiscal policy can clash.
Solutions proposed
Build flexible exchange rates and inflation targeting.
Grant central banks autonomy.
Ensure consistency between monetary and fiscal policy.
ContextMayekawa Lecture by Agustín Carstens, General Manager of the BIS, at the Bank of Japan, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies (IMES) conference, Tokyo, Japan, 27 May 2025.
Why it mattersThe BIS head calls for proactive supervision and full Basel III implementation to preserve trust.
Problems raised
The financial system is more volatile and dynamic.
ContextWelcome speech at the first BIS Chapultepec Conference in Mexico City, gathering central bank governors of the Americas; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and faces a more uncertain region.
Why it mattersThe BIS head warns that doubts on public finances raise risk premia across the Americas.
Problems raised
Doubts on public finances raise risk premia and weaken currencies.
An abrupt repricing of public debt could threaten stability.
Banks and non-banks hold large amounts of public debt.
Solutions proposed
Consolidate fiscal positions.
Rationalise public spending.
Redirect resources to infrastructure and human capital.
ContextPresentation by Agustín Carstens, General Manager of the BIS, prepared for an event hosted by the Bank of Spain, "Central bank independence in the face of present and future challenges", Madrid, 17 January 2025.
Why it mattersThe BIS head sets out principles for central bank independence and warns against overloaded mandates.
ContextWelcome speech at the Resolution Conference 2024, co-organised by the BIS, the FSB and deposit insurers; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and draws lessons from the 2023 bank failures.
Why it mattersLast year's failures show mid-sized lenders need more debt that can absorb losses before taxpayers do.
Problems raised
The 2023 bank failures tested resolution frameworks.
Mid-sized banks lack loss-absorbing debt.
Liquidity in crises is critical.
Solutions proposed
Require enough bail-in instruments.
Count deposit insurance and resolution funds in requirements.
ContextDinner speech by Agustín Carstens, General Manager of the BIS, at the joint European Banking Authority and European Central Bank international conference, Frankfurt am Main, 3 September 2024.
Why it mattersThe BIS head calls for adequately resourced supervisors that cooperate across borders.
Problems raised
Supervisory challenges cross borders.
Supervisors' tasks keep growing.
Resources may be insufficient.
Solutions proposed
Cooperate internationally, as the SSM does.
Extend cooperation to competition and privacy authorities.
ContextAddress by Agustín Carstens, General Manager of the BIS, to the Reserve Bank of India Global Conference on "Digital Public Infrastructure and Emerging Technologies", 27 August 2024.
Why it mattersThe BIS head proposes linking fast payment systems and using tokenised deposits.
Problems raised
Cross-border payments are a pain point.
They are slow and costly.
Systems are not integrated.
Solutions proposed
Link fast payment systems.
Use tokenised deposits and wholesale central bank money.
ContextKeynote address by Agustín Carstens, General Manager of the BIS, at the conference on "Exploring Conventional Bank Funding Regimes in an Unconventional World" co-sponsored by the Federal Reserve Banks of Dallas and Atlanta, Dallas, 18–19 July….
Why it mattersThe BIS head argues that the 2023 turmoil calls for combining supervision and liquidity support.
Problems raised
The 2023 turmoil exposed weak bank governance.
Liquidity risk management was poor.
Measures were treated in isolation.
Solutions proposed
Take an integrated approach to bank safety.
Combine supervision, liquidity facilities and risk management.
ContextPresentation of the 94th BIS Annual Economic Report in Basel; the BIS serves central banks worldwide as the global economy heads for a smooth landing.
Why it mattersThe BIS warns against rushing rate cuts and urges governments to rebuild fiscal buffers.
Problems raised
Expansionary fiscal policy could revive inflation.
High debt issuance could disrupt bond markets.
Neutral rates are uncertain.
Solutions proposed
Do not rush to return rates to pre-pandemic levels.
ContextSpeech at the People's Bank of China in Beijing, invited by its governor; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and helps them adapt to change.
Why it mattersCarstens warns that lower inflation is not yet low inflation and asks for patience.
ContextWelcome speech at the fourth BIS Innovation Summit in Basel; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and promotes technological innovation in finance.
Why it mattersCarstens calls for both incremental fixes and bold redesigns of financial architecture.
ContextRemarks at a reserve management event co-hosted with the Saudi Central Bank; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and helps them manage their foreign reserves.
Why it mattersCarstens discusses trade-offs between safety, liquidity, return and sustainability in reserves.
ContextEvening speech in Basel at a special International Conference of Banking Supervisors marking the Basel Committee's 50th anniversary; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and hosts global standard setters.
Why it mattersCarstens reviews fifty years of global bank standards and new digital risks.
ContextPresentation at the Peterson Institute in Washington with Nandan Nilekani; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and explores a unified digital financial system.
Why it mattersCarstens and Nilekani propose a unified digital architecture linking money and assets.
ContextSpeech with the Inter-American Development Bank's president launching a joint project; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and helps Latin American central banks close technology gaps.
Why it mattersA joint effort aims to modernise Latin American payment systems that lag behind.
ContextSpeech reviewing the global monetary tightening; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and asks how close they are to restoring price stability.
Why it mattersCarstens warns central banks against easing too early in the last mile.
ContextSpeech in Hong Kong marking the HKMA's 30th anniversary and 25 years of the BIS Asia office; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and works closely with Asia.
Why it mattersCarstens reviews twenty-five years of cooperation with Asian central banks.
Problems raised
High inflation and financial risks persist.
Fragmentation, low productivity and demographics hold back growth.
ContextOpening remarks by Agustín Carstens, General Manager of the BIS, at the Cybersecurity for Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) conference, 8 November 2023, Basel, Switzerland.
Why it mattersCarstens argues that cyber security must be built into CBDC design.
Problems raised
Cyber threats are growing for the financial system.
The stakes of a cyber attack on a CBDC are very high.
Security must keep pace with new technology.
Solutions proposed
Build strong cyber security into CBDC design from the start.
Keep CBDC designs flexible to adapt to new threats.
Cooperate internationally through the BIS on cyber resilience.
ContextSpeech at the 2023 High-Level Meeting on banking supervision for the Americas; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and draws lessons from the March 2023 bank failures.
Why it mattersCarstens argues that resolution cannot replace strong supervision.
Problems raised
Recent bank failures in the US and Switzerland raised questions.
Bail-in and cross-border resolution are hard in practice.
Liquidity provision in resolution is inadequate.
Solutions proposed
Strengthen loss-absorption capacity.
Improve resolution planning and cross-border cooperation.
Keep strong supervision, which resolution cannot replace.
ContextWelcome speech at a conference on the legal framework for central bank digital currencies; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and helps them prepare digital money.
Why it mattersCarstens sets four principles that laws must meet before digital public money is issued.
Problems raised
Existing laws are unclear about issuing CBDCs.
Digital money raises privacy and integrity concerns.
Different digital currencies may not work together.
Solutions proposed
Modernise legal frameworks for legitimacy, privacy, integrity and choice.
Coordinate internationally on CBDC law.
Ensure interoperability between digital currencies.
ContextSpeech to the European Banking Federation; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and calls for stronger bank supervision after the 2023 stress.
Why it mattersCarstens argues that supervision failed to catch the 2023 vulnerabilities.
Problems raised
Banking stress hit Europe and the US.
Central banks had to step in with liquidity.
Supervision failed to catch vulnerabilities.
Solutions proposed
Invest more in effective supervision.
Use technology to make supervision more productive.
ContextInterview with Agustín Carstens, General Manager of the BIS, in Germany's Börsen-Zeitung, conducted by Mark Schrörs on 27 April and published on 5 May 2023.
Why it mattersCarstens rejects doubts that central banks can tighten enough.
ContextLecture on monetary and fiscal policy as inflation and financial stress appear together; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and calls for policies that preserve trust.
Why it mattersCarstens warns that deficits and debt test the limits of stabilisation policy.
Problems raised
High inflation and financial stress have appeared together.
Large deficits and debt test the limits of policy.
Tensions between monetary and fiscal policies are growing.
Solutions proposed
Acknowledge the limits of stabilisation policies.
Rebuild room for policy manoeuvre.
Keep monetary and fiscal policy as anchors of trust.
ContextAcceptance speech for an honorary doctorate from Corvinus University in Budapest; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and links economic theory with policy practice.
Why it mattersCarstens reflects on why the inflation surge was not predicted.
ContextLecture at a Corvinus University conference in Budapest; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and asks whether emerging market central banking is changing.
Why it mattersCarstens asks whether developing-economy monetary authorities face lasting change after the inflation shock.
ContextAcceptance speech for the King of Spain Prize in Economics, received from the King; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and stresses trust in institutions.
Why it mattersCarstens argues that credibility is what makes economic institutions work.
Problems raised
Economic policy lost some public trust after recent shocks.
ContextSpeech in Singapore at the invitation of the Monetary Authority of Singapore; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and shapes the future monetary system.
Why it mattersCarstens warns that stablecoins could fragment money.
Problems raised
Innovation in money and payments is fast.
Stablecoins could harm investors and fragment money.
The singleness of money is at risk.
Solutions proposed
Build on strong existing foundations.
Regulate stablecoins to protect users.
Develop a future monetary system with central bank money at its core.
ContextRemarks prepared for delivery by Agustín Carstens, General Manager, Bank for International Settlements, at the BIS conference "Big techs in finance – implications for public policy", Basel, Switzerland, 8–9 February 2023.
Why it mattersCarstens argues that existing rules do not fit tech giants offering financial services.
ContextRemarks prepared for delivery by Agustín Carstens, General Manager of the BIS, at the Institute of International Finance Board Meeting, Zurich, Switzerland, 15 January 2023.
Why it mattersCarstens makes inflation the top priority despite record debt.
Problems raised
Inflation has returned.
Debt levels are historically high.
Tightening is challenging.
Solutions proposed
Make bringing inflation back to target the top priority.
ContextDinner remarks by Agustín Carstens, General Manager of the BIS, at the International Symposium on Central Bank Independence, Sveriges Riksbank, 10 January 2023.
Why it mattersCarstens describes the qualities needed to lead a monetary authority with independence.
ContextKeynote dinner speech by Agustín Carstens, General Manager of the BIS, at the 20th Anniversary High-Level Conference of the BIS Americas Office, Mexico City, 20 November 2022.
Why it mattersCarstens urges central banks in the Americas to stay steadfast.
Problems raised
The Americas face the highest inflation in decades.
ContextInterview (only available in German) with Agustín Carstens, General Manager of the BIS, in Bilanz, conducted by Dirk Schütz and published on 29 July 2022.
Why it mattersCarstens welcomes central bankers back to Basel as inflation returns.
ContextPresentation of the BIS Annual Economic Report 2022 in Basel; the BIS serves central banks worldwide as they fight the return of high inflation.
Why it mattersThe BIS annual report warns that the world risks entering a high-inflation era.
Problems raised
Inflation is back.
Risk of a high-inflation era.
Tightening may hurt activity.
Solutions proposed
Front-load tightening.
Limit adverse effects.
Pursue growth-friendly fiscal and structural reforms.
ContextOp-ed by Agustín Carstens, General Manager of the BIS, and H.M. Queen Máxima of the Netherlands, the United Nations Secretary-General's Special Advocate for Inclusive Finance for Development, published by Project Syndicate, 18 April 2022.
Why it mattersCarstens argues that digital currencies do not automatically include the unbanked.
ContextRemarks at an Institute of International Finance board meeting; the BIS serves central banks worldwide and reviews their pandemic response and new challenges.
Why it mattersCarstens warns that wage pressures could make inflation persist.